Kentucky Derby Prediction

SOURCE www.washingtonpost.com
Handicapper predicts No. 4 horse, Rodriguez, has the right mix to win the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs based on his strengths and pedigree.

Key Points

  • Rodriguez's pedigree includes sire Authentic and Into Mischief, known for producing elite runners
  • Analyst Bill Quirin's system supports Rodriguez's running style
  • Rodriguez's post position and pedigree give him an advantage in the Derby

Pros

  • Rodriguez won the Grade II Wood Memorial with a commanding front-running victory
  • Rodriguez's pedigree is built for the demands of the Derby, blending speed, stamina, and toughness
  • Trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Mike Smith, who have a successful track record
  • Post position No. 4 is conducive to Rodriguez's early run style
  • Rodriguez has an edge in terms of carrying speed over the Derby's distance

Cons

  • Facing competition from other front-running horses at the Derby
  • The need for Rodriguez to maintain his speed over the 1ΒΌ-mile distance, a challenge he has not faced before